Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.063597 0.075248 0.088305 0.104006 0.122356 0.143109 0.168342
2025-05-04 0.046023 0.061130 0.079974 0.105130 0.137755 0.178551 0.233350
2025-05-11 0.036050 0.052425 0.074628 0.106767 0.151908 0.212836 0.301066
2025-05-18 0.030111 0.047210 0.072049 0.110473 0.168068 0.250772 0.378012
2025-05-25 0.024100 0.040409 0.065597 0.106918 0.172503 0.271916 0.433139
2025-06-01 0.020323 0.036183 0.062052 0.106761 0.181392 0.300020 0.501474
2025-06-08 0.017144 0.032271 0.058218 0.105262 0.187508 0.324022 0.565761
2025-06-15 0.015243 0.030187 0.057024 0.107843 0.200470 0.360319 0.654199
2025-06-22 0.013138 0.027323 0.053948 0.106511 0.206208 0.384748 0.724879
2025-06-29 0.011228 0.024479 0.050427 0.103734 0.208754 0.403560 0.787395
2025-07-06 0.009579 0.021857 0.046900 0.100353 0.209552 0.419010 0.845144
2025-07-13 0.008728 0.020762 0.046239 0.102545 0.221421 0.456458 0.948644
2025-07-20 0.007834 0.019444 0.044971 0.103415 0.230976 0.491003 1.051559
2025-07-27 0.007022 0.018174 0.043619 0.103921 0.239874 0.525355 1.158351
2025-08-03 0.006385 0.017201 0.042774 0.105409 0.251052 0.565621 1.281975
2025-08-10 0.005957 0.016671 0.042864 0.109041 0.267442 0.618710 1.438809
2025-08-17 0.005170 0.015061 0.040116 0.105524 0.266928 0.634893 1.516663
2025-08-24 0.004662 0.014103 0.038826 0.105368 0.274290 0.669406 1.639378
2025-08-31 0.004154 0.013047 0.037116 0.103888 0.278209 0.696400 1.747694
2025-09-07 0.003878 0.012610 0.036968 0.106436 0.292498 0.749259 1.922579
2025-09-14 0.003478 0.011724 0.035459 0.105121 0.296693 0.778279 2.043151
2025-09-21 0.003075 0.010747 0.033538 0.102379 0.296757 0.797109 2.140646
2025-09-28 0.002701 0.009789 0.031515 0.099040 0.294755 0.810476 2.225815